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20% decline in Guar Gum export as compare to last year. Bad news for Indian Guar Gum Industry and Guar Seed Producer.

APEDA has released new data, as per these data , this year there is 20 % decline in Guar Gum Export from India as comparison to last year. Last year ( 2013-14) export of guar gum was  INR 11,723 Crore this year ( 2014-15 ) figure is INR 9479 Crore. Ultimately this loss is in farmers pocket.



( With courtesy of Financial Express )

Govt must promote guar product and invest in R&D in product development. Guar is multi-use product. It need more attention then other commodity. As per international market this data may further come down this year.  Some industries are adopting wrong practices by dumping teh guar to its end market. If Guar gum comes down further then tere willbe direct impact on poor farmers of western Rajasthan.

Just two year before Guar was number one exportable agriculture commodity from India.It is loosing its position year by year.




Please read complete story with Financial Express.:-

http://www.financialexpress.com/article/markets/commodities/buffalo-meat-exports-exceed-basmati-shipments-in-fy15/70374/

Why Guar seed and Guar Gum is going up ? Is it real or speculative ?


Guar and guar gum both are becoming highly speculative in nature. Every week there is different picture , In one week it is goes up in next week it slide down. Either it reflects as top looser or it reflects as top gainer in commodity exchange. IS it real or speculative. Commodity should follow same trend at list for one month  specially in international market, because it take minimum two month in contract negotiation and delivery.

It is questionable that why this trend  of speculation is keep going in forward market. NCDEX is only market where Guar Seed is traded, so it is very easy for speculators to manipulate the market trend.


Following factors gives a clear indication of price fall for guar seed and Guar gum. up to last month it was moving down side but from last month it is moving upside with regular speculation.


Why Guar seed and Guar Gum is going up ? Is it real or speculative ?

Bumper Production

As per existing data available and released by different state govt there was production of more than 3.4 Million MT Guar Seed production. It is 1.4 million more than the one year demand. Last year demand of guar seed was 1.8 Million MT that is be some where equal to 2 Million MT.

Carry Forward Stock of Last years

As per last year demand and supply data there was  carry forward stock of 0.8 Million MT. Before last year, production of guar seed was also bumper. if we add this carry forward stock to last year production then Huge stock of guar is available in market. This is the reason that Guar seed prices are continuously falling since new harvest arrival started in market.

Demand of Guar 

The demand from Oil and Natuarl Gas Industry is low this year. Figure of guar gum demand  should be lower than last year. As per analysis demand of Guar seed for this year should be around 1.5- 1.7 Million MT, so this year , there is  1.7 Million MT Over production as per demand.


guar seed and guar gum seed.

Low crude Prices 

Most of Guar gum  is used in Oil and Natural Gas industry for hydraulic fracturing process as Guar Gum Powder. Due to over supply of oil in market prices of crude is its lower level. For a stable guar seed and Guar Gum prices, prices of crude oil should be more than 80 USD/ Barrel. But it is far below than this figure. Guar is a demand driven product. In this over production condition there is no chances of supply driven movement.

Warehousing in USA

Many Indian companies has stocked there production in US for ready to sell and cash and carry concept. This activity is back biting the industry.  Industry has loose the long term contracts buyer gives order as per their current demand. There is hyper competition and low margin. Fragmented demand cant be stable factor for the price rise. 

Processing Unit in India

Some foreign partner has developed the processing facility in India so it is not easy to identify the new demand so early that it can give immediate effect to market prices.

IF we analyse the above factors and try to correlate the demand and supply then rate of guar seed should be in the price brackets of INR 3000-4000 / 100 Kg. But it is being traded more than 5000 with regular speculation. Investors are advised keep away from this game of speculation.

Guarkernmehl (Guar Samen) Anbau-Beratung in Deutschland

Guarkernmehl (Guar Samen) Anbau-Beratung in Deutschland

Guarkernmehl (Cyamopsis Tetragonoloba) oder Guar Samen entsteht als bedeutende industrielle Ernte. Guarkernmehl-Pulver wird aus den Samen der Guarbohne hergestellt. Guarkernmehl-Pulver hat breite Anwendung in verschiedenen Branchen. Großen Nachfrage Guarkernmehl Pulver leitet sich von der Erdöl- und Erdgas-Industrie. Guarkernmehl-Pulver wird in hydraulische fracturing Prozess für Erdölförderung verwendet. Guarkernmehl-Pulver wird auch in der Lebensmittelindustrie verwendet. Es ist verbreitet in verarbeiteten Lebensmitteln.

Guarkernmehl (Cyamopsis Tetragonoloba) oder Guar Samen ist 90-120 Tage-Crop. Es kann im Niedrigwasser Verfügbarkeit Bedingung kultiviert werden. Betriebsführung ist sehr einfach. Es erfordert keine regelmäßige Landwirtschaft Praktiken im Bauernhof.

Komplettlösung für groß angelegte High-Tech Mechanische Anbau, die Beschaffung von guten Samen, Entwicklung und Verwaltung, Behandlung von Guar Samen Guar Split, Guar Korma, Guar Churi, Guarkernmehl-Pulver, die Beschaffung von Guar Produkte, Ausbildung und Exposition Tour, internationale Qualitäts-Zertifizierung, Färbung-Forschung und Entwicklung abzuschließen.

Wir führen Landwirtschaft / Agribusiness-Experte, der Beständigkeit Guarkernmehl (Cyamopsis Tetragonoloba) oder Guar Samen Anbau vorsehen. Wir haben das Projekt erfolgreich realisiert, in Indien, Indonesien, Russland, Europa, Tansania, Sudan etc.. Unser Team unterstützen Sie beim Erwerb von guter Qualität-Samen, Vorbereitung zu landen, Saatgut, Aussaat, Bewässerung und Insekt Management, Pflanzenschutz, Boden Nährstoff Management und Guar ernte ernten. Unser Team hilft auch Auswahl an Land, finanzielle Planung für Projekt, Lagerung und Lagerverwaltung.

Unser Experte hat volle Erfahrung unter komplette mechanische Anbau, kontrollierte Bewässerung, mechanische Ernte, mechanische Anwendung der Insektizide oder Pestizide in 100-200 Hektar großen Gebiet zu arbeiten. Unser Experte kann auch helfen, um zu verstehen, die Verarbeitung der Guar Samen zu teilen dann Guarkernmehl Pulver Guarkernmehl.

Guar dient auch bei Rindern, die Futtermittelindustrie, verbleibenden Teil des Gaur Saatgut Verarbeitung zu Pulver Guarkernmehl in Viehfutter verwendet wird. Es ist reich an Eiweiß und Ballaststoffen.

Bitte kontaktieren Sie uns für weitere Details.

Will guar seed and guar gum prices keep rising or drop further ?

Guar will open low and it will settle down to last level up to end of April contract. Last week we have seen major recovery in guar prices. Guar seed and guar gum both improved very fast.  This hike was highly speculative.  At low volume speculators try to manipulate with circular trading to boost next contracts. In this process they pull out their investment with profit. This is time for Rabi commodity trading in guar growing belt. Price rise will not lead to improvement in trading and arrival of seed in market. Existing data predict that there will be further drop in guar gum export in this quarter as compared to last year.

In May contract situation will same with decreasing trading volume speculators will active and will try to influence market upside.  Investor should avoid low volume contracts as there is high risk of speculative trading.


Dried mature guar pod ready for threshing 

Farmer and trader both don't touch Guar seed in this period. If the farmer will reach to market then no one will ready to buy his produce except guar gum factories. Factories are located on major town and cities. We can say it is not approachable for every farmer. There is channel of unregistered small traders; generally these traders are located in every 4-5 villages. These traders purchase directly from farmers and collect from 4-5 villages and sell to factories.

There is improvement in crude and natural gas in international market. If WTI crude crosses the level of 65 USD then guar may see further rise in rates. In international market crude may drop again as OPEC have taken decision to continue to increase their crude production? The current price is crude oil is not getting strong support of demand. There is still fear of further crush in crude prices.

In grain market there is no arrival but there is sufficient arrival with running factories. With big processor there is sufficient own stock. There is no problem with supply side.


Guar crop farm- healthy green guar crop

Even before last year, the situation was same. There was regular rainfall up to April, after that Monsoon was good and was bumper production. In rain fed Guar growing belt the area will same as last year. In irrigated belt farmer will switch to guar from cotton. Guar is still profitable than Cotton. Even in zero production situations there is sufficient seed for next year. Actual problem has created by producers themselves; they dumped stock in USA and selling in hyper competition.

In international market crude is strengthening. Currently it is giving strong support to guar seed and guar gum prices. In this week three main data will be released,which will decide the future of crude.

Tuesday, April 21
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is to publish its weekly report on oil supplies.

Wednesday, April 22
The U.S. is to release data on existing home sales as well as a government report on oil inventories.

Thursday, April 23
China is to release private sector data on manufacturing activity.




Guar gum export has declined 38.47% as compared to last quarter( Jan-15, Feb-15 and March-15)


After analysing exports data from reliable sources, it was found that there is decline in guar gum export. There is sharp decline of 38.47% during this quarter as compared to last quarter and there is also 14.24% decline in export in guar gum as comparison to last year.


Export of guar gum decline as compare to last quarter, this year (2014-2015)


                            Export  Decline as compare to last quarter , This year
Month
Quantity
Month
Quantity
October-14
35690. 737 MT
January-15
27763.292 MT
November-14
41123. 216 MT
Feburuary-15
26453.050 MT
December-14
42112.359 MT
March-15
18959.028 MT
Total
118926.312 MT
Total
73175.370 MT
Total Down fall  in this quarter as  compared to last quarter (-) 45750.942 MT
Percentage downfall in export as compare to last quarter  (-)  38.47%

  
Post harvest practices of guar gum seed (cleaning & removal of  husk and other foreign particles ) 

Export of guar gum decline as compare to Last year (2013-2014) in the same Quarter

                            Export Decline as compare to Last year in the same Quarter.
Month
Quantity
Month
Quantity
January-14
28422702  MT
January-15
27763.292 MT
Feburuary-14
28145285  MT
Feburuary-15
26453.050 MT
March-14
28759146  MT
March-15
18959.028 MT
Total
85327133 MT
Total
73175.370 MT
Total Down fall  in this quarter as  compared to last quarter (-) 12151.763 MT
Percentage downfall in export as compare to last Year same quarter  (-)   14.24%

Guar gum seed is becing packed in bags for warehousing 

Global demand of guar gum has come down. During last quarter export was increased as compare to previous quarter. After in depth  analysis it was found that Indian exporter opened their subsidiary and stocked material in importing countries, now that stock is not cleared and sharp decline has noticed in guar gum export.

In coming days rate of guar gum and guar seed may further come down. Rs 2500/100 Kg for guar seed and Rs 6500/ 100kg for guar gum may be a bottom line. There are no chances of further improvement in rate even in next year. As per climatic condition, monsoon will be good this year and  guar crop will be is good condition. Carry forward stock of guar seed and new crop arrival will make it over supply condition.

Guar Seed &Guar Gum may become hot commodity, If demand rises from other than Oil &Natural Gas industry

During this week Guar Guar gum seed and Guar gum prices are improving slowly and slowly in future market as well as in spot market. If we analyse the entire factors we will find that things are not in favor of prices rise. First time in history there are crude oil inventory crises in USA. There is over production of crude in USA. This over production is continuing means there is not storage available for new production. In coming future crude prices may crash to a new lower level of this year. Demand of new guar is not so hot. Existing contract may keep going but there are lesser chances of further demand rise. 

      Guar gum seed prices in sport market from 1st October, 2014 to 25th March, 2015.

At Supply side there is sufficient production and there can be a carry forward of 15’000’000 Qt Guar seed (15 Million bags) for year 2015-2016 from year 2014-2015. In worst case scenario there is sufficient stock of guar seed to cover the demand of guar gum domestically and internationally. As per early data released by Govt we find that there will be good monsoon during this year. Cotton is parallel crop of guar, which is also not preforming well. 
During this year farmer will prefer Guar over cotton especially in irrigated area. International rating agencies are giving prediction of improvement in Indian economy. It will lead to Rupee strengthen against USD. If INR will strengthen then there will be low Rupees inflow.

Mature guar crop ready for harvest in Farm in Rajasthan 
There is hope from domestic consumption. At lower price, application of guar gum may increase in other industries. At low price Guar gum will be affordable for other industries. If total share of other industries  increase up 50 %, than oil and natural gas industry, then guar guar may become a hot commodity for long term basis. Guar meal and Guar Korma will also give a strong support to guar seed prices. Currently guar Korma and Guar Churi is preforming very well in comparison to last years and guar gum. Churi Korma will always work as base line for Guar seed price.

Гуаровая камедь (гуаровая семян) культивирование консультирование в России

Гуаровая камедь (гуаровая семян) культивирование консультирование в России

Гуаровая камедь (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) или гуаровая семян формируется как крупных промышленных культур. Гуаровая камедь порошок производится из семян Гуара. Гуаровая камедь порошок имеет широкое применение в различных отраслях промышленности. Основное требование гуаровая камедь порошок является производным от нефтяной и газовой промышленности. Гуаровая камедь порошок используется в гидравлических ГРП процесс для производства сырой нефти. Гуаровая камедь порошок также используется в пищевой промышленности. Он широко используется в обработанных пищевых продуктов.

Смолы гуаровые (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) или гуаровая семян является культурой 90-120 дней. Он может культивироваться в состояние доступности воды. Управление фермой очень проста. Она не требует регулярного сельскохозяйственной практики в ферме.

Полное решение для крупных высокотехнологичных механические культивирования, sourcing доброе семя, полный фермы разработки и управления, обработка семян гуар гуар Сплит, гуаровая корма, гуаровая Churi, гуаровая камедь порошок, снабжением гуар продукции, профессиональной подготовки и экспозиции тур, Международная сертификация качества, окраски исследований и разработок.

Мы являемся ведущим сельского хозяйства / АПК эксперт, который обеспечивают постоянство гуаровая камедь (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) или гуаровая выращивания семян. Мы успешно осуществили проект в Индии, Индонезии России, Европы, Танзании, Судана и т.д. Наша команда будет помочь вам в приобретении хорошее качество семян, земля подготовки, семена посев, управления орошением, насекомых управления, борьбы с вредителями, почвы питательных веществ и гуаровая уборки зерновых. Наша команда поможет также выбор земельного участка, финансовое планирование для управления проектами, хранения и склад.

Наш эксперт имеет полный опыт работы под полный механический культивирования, контролируемой ирригации, механическому сбору, механического применения инсектицидов и пестицидов в 100-200 гектаров большой. Наш эксперт может также помочь понять обработки семян гуар в гуаровая камедь, затем разделить гуаровая камедь порошок.

Гуар используется также в скот кормить промышленности, оставаясь частью Гаур семян после обработки в гуаровая камедь порошок используется в корма для скота. Он богат белком и клетчаткой.

Пожалуйста, свяжитесь с нами для получения более подробной информации.

How long Guar seed and Guar gum will remain stable in market ?

In local market guar remained stable after a regular bullish trend.  In future market dropping crude oil gave a halt to rising prices to guar prices in spot and forward market. As per earlier prediction crude was suppose to go upward. Traders and exporters consider crude an important factor for demand of guar gum.

Crude is based of energy industry. Any type of movement will put an impact to input products. Guar is considered as demand driven input. After harvesting of guar crop, supply side figure balance at a level.




From July to December Guar behave as supply driven product and form January to June Guar behave as demand driven product. Guar will remain as a weak commodity up to June. After June it may behave as strong commodity with the negative data of rainfall.

During current period impact of crude prices will be seen clearly on guar prices. Any further demand of guar Korma and Churi may also affect price of gaur.


Unexpected price fall of crude oil may push guar seed prices below 3000 and guar gum prices below 7500 at current level of oil prices guar seed and guar gum will remain below 3500 and 8500 at the time of March contract realization. If crude prices drop further then it may drop below the level of 2500 and 7500.

Monsoon / Rainfall will be better in this year Will it increase in guar gum cultivation area in india ?

Guar is stable but within last two days guar has recovered very fast in physical market.  Guar seed has gained Rs 100 and Guar gum Rs 200. It is also noticed that guar gum is recovering faster than guar seed. There is high volatility in future market but in spot market it is improving slowly and slowly.

In rising price condition farmers/small traders are holding the stock in perception of further price rise. As per meteorological data released by Govt it is expected that rainfall will be better in this year. Manson will be normal.



Guar gum cultivation in India ( Farmer is doing plant protection ) .  

But gaur it also under direct influence from crude industry. At another side USA is also putting pressure on Iran to not continue his Atomic Program. Might be there can be some agreement to halt production of crude oil to save economy of Iran. Oil economies are facing tough conditions.

In long term Guar will emerge as an important exportable commodity. Guar needs an undisputed demand. In this year overall situation of gaur can’t be said as satisfactory, because there is a heavy volatility in this year though it was effect t of international political situation.


Guar industries need more professionalism, more organized industry more RD oriented industry. It must be come out be presented as product instead of commodity.

Guar seed and guar gum is improving with rising Crude prices.

Guar is improving after a consistent rise in crude prices during last week. Crude prices are improving regularly. It is giving strength to guar prices. Guar seed improved by Rs 100 and guar gum by 300 Rs in local physical market. It is also improving in future market.

Energy prices in international market are giving strength to guar prices. Buy if energy price keep moving downside in international market then it may further crush but if happen up side then Guar prices may cross the level of Rs 10,000 for guar gum and RS 4500 for guar seed with in march contract.



Guar Seed and Guar gum cultivation in India- Guar Agriculture Farm.  

It will give double strength in next month as gaur supply from farmer will almost stop for two month and at rising price supply will very tight in trend of more margin making.

Pictures will more clear after crude will cross the level of 70 USD/barrel right now crude is being moving around 61 USD/barrel.


At rising price all entire stack holder will hold the commodity but if prices goes down then ever one will release the commodity.

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