Guar Gum will come under Commodity Transaction Tax....
Guar seed ( guar gum ) Gum Cultivation in Summer crop
Guar Gum Export from India is increasing
Guar Seed ( Gaur Gum ) arrival increased in the market.
Now the farmers need money for sowing of the Kharif Crop.
Right now the arrival of Guar ( Guar Gum) Seed has increased up to 60,000- 65,000 bags / day in last 2-3 weeks. in the physical Mandi ( Grain Market ). It is expected that this year the area of Guar cultivation will increase 20-25 % than the last year and there will be 6-7 million bags more production than last year.
Now the Importers are ignoring the long term contract they are preferring the short term contract as per their demand. Due to this activity there is no sudden increase in the demand but in the volumatric terms the demand in stable and regular. In financial term this year ( 12-13) India has earned more foreign currency from Guar Gum export in-comparison to last year ( 11-12). It is expected that this year demand will increase in comparison to last year. This demand is very less in comparison to the arrival of commodity into the market.
Guar Gum Cultivation In India and Its future
If we analyse the current condition of Guar seed it is as follows.
- This time the monsoon is on time with a prediction of good rainfall.
- The farmers are having huge stocks,
- New crop is suppose to arrive after four- five month
- There is no any improvement in the forward ( future rates) trading.
- Manufacturers are not getting long term contracts from the buyers
- There is also arrival of the guar seed of summer crop from some other states.
- Exploration of New Oil and Natural Gas Fields.
- Increase in the rate of the Crude oil.
- Stability in the middle east.
- New area under Guar crop cultivation.
- Actual rainfall during the Kharif season
- Successful crop cycle of Guar crop with out any heavy damage.
Crises in Ukraine can lead to the boom in fracking industry.
The same time if EU freeze the Russian asset then Russian will also put same impose on EU assets in Russia. There is chances that these sanction can back fire.
In strategic point of View Russia will gain from this conflict, but if the strong long term conflicts arise between EU and Russia, then EU will be the looser. In short term EU will face the GAS crises, and US will enjoy this situation.
Ultimately the key is in the hand of BRICS economy. Strategically Russian and friendly relation with Indian and China. There is old saying in India. The exact looser in battle is "battle ground", where distraction take places. This time it is UKRAINE.
Guargum futures gain on low-level buying
ग्वार फसल के किसानों तथा इससे सम्बंधित व्यापारियों व उधमियों से विनम्र निवेदन
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- आज के दिन खनिज तेल व प्राकृत गैस इंडस्ट्री से कोई भी नयी मांग नहीं है.
- अमेरिका में सभी खनिज तेल व प्राकृत गैस इंडस्ट्री के पास अगले 5-6 महीने का स्टॉक पूरा है
- आज के दिन वंहा के आयातकों के पास इंडिया से आधी दरों पर ग्वार गम पड़ा है जो की अगले 1 साल के लिए प्रयाप्त है.
- अगर नयी मांग आई भी तो वि अभी बाज़ार में उपलब्ध 5% -10 % ग्वार से पूर्ण हो जायेगी .
- व्यापारी भाईयों के पास भी खूब ग्वार का बीज पड़ा है
- किसान भाइयों का तो कहना ही क्या, उन्होंने ने तो अभी पिछले साल का 75% माल स्टोक कर रखा है.
- उससे पिछले साल का भी 20-25% माल रख रखा है.
- 2 महीने बाद नयी फसल आने वाली है
- भगवान की दया से अभी तक बारिश प्रयाप्त है लगता है ये फसल अच्छी तरह से हो जाएगी.
- ग्वार की फसल को जड़ से ज्यादा वातावरण में नमीं चाहिए,वो इस बारिश के मौसम में प्रयाप्त रहती है
- ग्वार एक कम पानी की फसल है जो अपना काम 1-2 बारिश में निकाल लेती है...
- ग्वार के भाव रोजाना उचें नीचे होने से कम्पनीज को रोजाना अपने लाभ हानि की गणना करनी पड़ती है , तथा निवेशकों को जबाब देना पड़ता है
- ग्वार इंडस्ट्री से निवेशकों का भरोसा उठ जायेगा . तथा जल्दी से कोई इस इंडस्ट्री में निवेश नहीं करेगा , जो की लम्बे समय के लिए जरुरी है ताकि इसपे आगे रिसर्च व डेवलपमेंट होती रहे...
- तेल व प्राकृत गैस इंडस्ट्री ग्वार गम को पूर्ण तया नकार देगी. किसी दुसरे उत्पाद पर चले जाएंगे . फिर वो ही 1600 -1700 के भाव बाज़ार में रह जायेंगे.
- दूसरी इंडस्ट्री ग्वार पर ज्यादा रिसर्च नहीं करेगी व अपने उत्पादों में ग्वार काम में नहीं लेंगे.
- ग्वार मेहंगा होनें के कारन दुसरे क्षेत्र के लोग ग्वार लगायेंगे, जीससे आपका एकाधिकार ख़तम होजायेगा, जो की फिर लम्बे समाय के लिए खतरनाक है .
- दुसरे देश अमरीका, ऑस्ट्रेलिया , अफ्रीका के देश , चीन इसकि खेती करने लग जायेंगे तथा इससे भारत की कुल हिस्सेदारी ख़तम हो जाएगी.
- भारत की इंडस्ट्री वाले भी उतार चढ़ाव की स्थिति में व्यापार नहीं कर पाते. उतार चढ़ाव की स्थिति में माल को स्टोक कर नहीं सकते जो की प्रोसेसिंग में आर्डर को जल्दी पूरा करने के लिए जरुरी है .
Baker Hughes announces new guar-alternative fracturing fluid delivers cleaner fractures for improved recovery
Current price rise of guar seed and gaur gum......Real or Again Speculation
- Guar seed sowing is 70 % higher than last year.
- The current rainfall is regular and more than average.
- There is no news of crop damage due to heavy rain.
- The demand of guar powder is closed up to next march
- Fresh harvested crop is to be come after 2 months
Can poor monsoon lead to increase in Guar prices ?
Guar Seed and Guar Gum prices weakened due to stagnant demand at current price level.
Today, Guar seed and guar gum prices have weakened due to stagnant demand at the current price level. Demand is poor at the current price level. Guar seed and gum prices were quoted weak in the physical and forward markets due to stagnant demand at lower levels. The current prices are not supporting the buying of Guar seed and guar gum in the market. Currently, there are parliamentary elections in India, and business activities are slow, awaiting the formation of a new government.
Most processing industries are waiting for big orders. Generally, major demand arises from the US, but this year the major demand for guar products is coming from Norway and the Netherlands. The Norwegian government has awarded 62 new licenses for oil drilling to 24 energy companies, a significant development. As of today, Norway is experiencing the highest hydrocarbon extraction of the last 15 years. Equinor is investing USD 6 billion per year in oil and natural gas exploration and drilling activities in Norway. Currently, Equinor is working on 55 new projects. Russia and Norway are major natural gas suppliers to Europe. After 2022, Norway became the number one oil supplier to Europe after surpassing Russia.
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| Guar Seed and Guar Gum prices weakened due to stagnant demand at current price level. |
After Norway, the Netherlands, USA, Germany, Russia, UK, and Australia are major importers of guar gum from India. Norway has imported 75,850 MT, the Netherlands has imported 39,040 MT, the USA has imported 35,835 MT, Germany has imported 28,393 MT, Russia has imported 27,954 MT, the UK has imported 13,605 MT, and Australia has imported 11,650 MT of guar gum from April 2023 to December 2023. Oil drilling activities are a major booster for Guar seed and guar gum demand and further price movement.
This is a critical time for the entire guar gum industry. The guar gum industry should take collective action for the standardization of the quality and grading of guar gum. Guar-based products are increasing day by day. Guar-based dietary fiber is already on the market. Now people are working on extracting guar protein for human consumption. Quality control is necessary with the increasing number of guar-based products. There are many non-tariff trade barriers in the guar business. The industry must work to remove these barriers.
Due to increased demand and lower production, crude oil prices are also increasing. The global market is bullish for crude prices in the current quarter. Currently, Brent crude oil is being traded at USD 85.95 per barrel, and WTI crude oil is being traded at USD 81.68 per barrel. OPEC anticipates a substantial surge in global demand for liquid fuel in 2024, reaching 2.25 Mb/d, followed by a continued increase to 1.85 Mb/d in 2025. The projection for future growth in US tight oil output remains steady compared to the previous month, with an expected uptick of approximately 4% in 2024 and a subsequent 5% rise in 2025.
Guar seed and guar gum prices are weak in the local physical markets. Prices of Guar seed and guar gum are quoted lower than the commodity exchange NCDEX. Future trading of Guar seed and guar gum is also expected to remain poor due to no business at current levels. Good quality Guar seed is traded at Rs 5200 per 100 kg, and average quality Guar seed is traded at Rs 4800 per 100 kg. Standard quality guar gum is traded at Rs 10100 per 100 kg. In interior locations, Guar seed is traded up to Rs 4700-4800 per 100 kg. Guar seed is being traded strongly in the future market. At NCDEX (National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Ltd), Guar seed-10MT is traded at Rs 5185 and Rs 5260, lower by 0.38 percent or Rs 20 per 100 kg and 0.17 percent or Rs 9 per 100 kg, with an open interest of 68965 and 16120 for April and May month contracts.
Guar gum is also traded weakly in the future market. At NCDEX (National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Ltd), Guar gum-5MT is traded at Rs 10130 and Rs 10090, lower by 0.26 percent or Rs 26 per 100 kg and 0.25 percent or Rs 26 per 100 kg, with an open interest of 41020 and 7885 for April and May month contracts.
Advance Estimate of Guar ( guar gum ) Seed Production in India in year 2014-2015
S.N. State Production ( MT)
1. Rajasthan 1339806
2 Haryana 340000
3 Gujarat 179100
4 Others 100000
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Total Estimated Guar ( Guar gum ) Seed Production 1'958'906 MT
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Advance estimate of Guar gum ( guar seed) production-year 2014-2015 in Gujarat shows down fall trends in comparison to last year
(Guar data are highlighted in red)
GUAR CULTIVATION AREA, PRODUCTION, AND YIELD OF LAST SIX YEAR- GUJARAT
1 2009-10 132'700 44'700 337
* 2014-15 data is as per estimated crop cultivation area data released by Gujarat state govt.
# Production data and yield data are not mentioned as I dint get any reliable information
Last year climatic condition were in favor of guar crop cultivation so guar crop cultivation area was increased but in this year the crop cultivation area is more than state govt targets. This year state govt targeted 283'500 Hectare.
As per an average yield of 600 kg / Hectare we are expecting 179'100 MT guar seed production from Gujarat state. Which is less than last year but it is more than average. The production estimate is positive. The Guar gum ( guar seed) production is not bumper in Gujarat this year but it is above the average of last years. There are three Major Guar growing states Rajasthan, Haryan and Gujarat.
Advance estimate of Guar gum ( guar seed) production-year 2014-2015 in Haryana shows down fall trends in comparison to last year
Estimated production for 2014-2015 is 3,40,000 MT which is 7.8 % lesser than last year. Last year production was 3,69,000 MT. As per estimate productivity has increased this year . This year productivity is 1000 Kg/Hac which is 30 % more than last year. Last year productivity was 767 Kg / Hac.











