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Guar gum arrival has come down in Market due to winter

This is last week of December. Winter temperature is going down and down. Guar business activities are also very slow.

Guar seed arrival in market is very low. Initially it was low due to low rates of guar seed but right now it is low due to farmer are holding guar seed, in expectation of high rates. Farmers are expecting a level of 7000-8000. Small farmer are selling the seed continuously. Some time they sell it to big farmers some time direct in the market.

Small traders who operate at village level are not getting enough arrival of seed after drop down of rate below 5000. For these traders 5000-5500 level is comfortable level. Below 5000 level farmer are not showing good response to local trader.

Stockists are not expecting too much volatility up and down in industry. As per their view they see it 5500 at higher level.  One of stockist who stock guar seed for one of Major producer is saying that manufacturer is under heavy loss due to stock of guar seed at higher rate. There will be a downfall March and April, as new commodity of Rabi Crop (winter crop) will arrive and Guar will be at its lower level.


Guar seed Guar gum cultivation / farming  in India. Sickel the major tool for  manual harvesting


Processors are expecting a rise in guar price with recovery in crude prices. Guar seed is easily available to for local processing unit. There is no any major mismatch between demand and supply. Demand and supply both are low. Guar seed is reaching to factories.

Upward price movement will be carry on farmer, Trader, Stockist and Miller all are expecting price rise. 4500-5000 is looking a stable level for coming two-three months for guar seed..

Due to cold farmers are also not carrying commodity to market. 

Guar Gum export to Russia will be come down due to weak Rubal

Guar Gum export to Russia will be come down due to weak Rubal 

Russia is third major importer of Indian Guar Gum after US and China . We may see a straight downfall in export of guar Gum to Russia due to weak Russian Currency ( Rubal ). As Russian Currency ( Rubal) has touched the lowest point against USD during this month..

As per a local businessman, who is dealing with Russia for Guar Gum export, is saying that in the current  quarter of curent financial year  ( October November and December), there will be  30 % low export.

As per his view there is more chances that India will lose the order of guar gum from Russia due to weak Russian Currency ( Rubal).



Guar seed /guar gum crop cultivation : Newly Harvested Crop after threshing.


Russia supplies Gas and Oil to Europe, Russia has hit from double side  Low prices of Oil and Low valuation of Russian Currency.  At another side Western Countries and Europe has put a lot of economic sanctions on Russia on the issue of Crimea. After that export or Russia to European countries has come down.

Mostly Guar Gum is used  in O&NG industry but due to low prices of oil and gas will affect the new drilling and this will lead to low demand of Guar gum.

Current market condition of Guar seed and Guar Gum

70% of guar gum is used in O&NG industry. Price of major component of O&NG, Crude oil and Natural gas are going down. And expert are predicting further downfall in both products. It is expected that Crude may cross the lower level of 35$-40$ barrel. It is not impossible the prices had reached below level of 40 $ / Barrel in August, 2008. 

Current political and economical condition does not give any sign of improvement in crude prices. There will be continuous pressure on middle-east and Russian economy due to low crude oil.


Natural gas will also not work very well as most of contract for current winter has been already done. The current down fall may not attract any new investment for future activities.



Low rate of crude and natural gas will attract the low cost inputs. Alternative / substitute of guar will create a competition in input chemical market.

Production of Guar:  There is estimated production 20 million Bags of guar seed in India in current year. 

Demand of guar: The existing contract will keep going. There is less possibilities of new contracts. 

Business activities in Guar: - Business activities in guar will be lower during next week due to yearend holidays and New Year celebrations. The export activities will be low during this period.

Supply of Guar: - This is mid of year. It will take time to come new winter crop, which generally comes in April. Sumer crop produce will be only source of fund for farmers. Guar supply will increase.  Small trader and investor will come out from the guar stock and investment that will add in supply.

Trading movement: - Downfall may continue. Current level is below Rs 120 that may reach below Rs INR 100-95. Within one month or up to Feb starting Guar gum will reach down to INR 90.  There may be also additional pressure of guar gum from existing stock. The manufacturer and importer will have pressure to sell the existing stock due to time. Might be big stockist can wait for long term price movement but small and medium stockist will react negatively and sell their stock to avoider addition loss. 

Political Movement: - Sliding down crud may lead to cheaper farm fuel, fertilizers, farm input and cheaper transportation. So there might be no major pressure on Guar from farmer side. Low inflation will not create any political aggressiveness among guar farmers. 
Next coming Three Tier Panchayat (rural) election will require addition money for contestant in guar growing region. Guar is major stock able commodity among big farmers. Low rate of guar may lead to more guar inflow in market. 

What does " Crude Going Down " means?

Crude is going down toward USD 60/ barrel. Expert are predicting it toward USD 30/ Barrel. How will it effect the guar gum industry ?

Shale Gas Production may decrease

Crude is base of energy industry. Shale gas has emerged major competitor to crude oil  It will directly effect the shale gas production. Shale gas production is major activity where guar gum powder in used in large quantity. If shale gas production goes down then it will directly effect the guar gum consumption. and it will further miss match the demand and supply. In this condition guar gum prices will come down. It may touch the November 2010 level.

Date
Time
Rate
23 Nov 2010
12 :33 :00
5792.85
23 Nov 2010
16 :10 :00
5927.5
24 Nov 2010
12 :38 :00
6100
24 Nov 2010
15 :38 :00
6075.3
25 Nov 2010
12 :39 :00
5995.85
25 Nov 2010
15 :39 :00
5944.75
26 Nov 2010
12 :45 :00
6000
26 Nov 2010
15 :25 :00
6000
27 Nov 2010
12 :44 :00
5888.9
29 Nov 2010
12 :33 :00
6151.95
29 Nov 2010
15 :44 :00
6106.25
30 Nov 2010
12 :40 :00
6060.3
30 Nov 2010
15 :40 :00
6029.25
01 Dec 2010
12 :33 :00
5983.35
01 Dec 2010
15 :24 :00
6000
02 Dec 2010
12 :37 :00
5864.3
02 Dec 2010
15 :53 :00
5865.65
03 Dec 2010
12 :11 :00
5950
03 Dec 2010
15 :13 :00
5972.5
04 Dec 2010
13 :36 :00
6400
06 Dec 2010
12 :41 :00
6403.55
06 Dec 2010
15 :34 :00
6453.85
07 Dec 2010
12 :33 :00
6400

November - December 2010 guar gum level was around  INR 5000 - 6000 / 100 Kg. in that condition guar seed may touch INR 1700 -  INR 1800 Level.

Shale Gas Production may increase

In the condition of hyper competition, Shale gas production companies may increase the production. These companies may increase the quantity to increase there overall profit. If the production increases then  companies work on input cost control. Defiantly these companies will pay less for guar gum or these companies may switch on guar gum alternatives. All the alternatives are synthetic and rate of product can be controlled. Again guar gum may reach to the level of November - December 2010 rates.

Next 5-6 month are very criticle for guar gum industry specially in context to Guar Gum application in Shale Gas production. 





Gomme de guar (graines de Guar) conseils de culture en France

Gomme de guar (graines de Guar) conseils de culture en France

Gomme de guar (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) ou de graines de guar émerge une culture industrielle majeure. Poudre de gomme de guar est fabriqué à partir de la graine de guar. Poudre de gomme de guar a l'application large dans des industries différentes. La demande importante de poudre de gomme de Guar est dérivée de l'industrie du pétrole et du gaz naturel. Poudre de gomme de guar est utilisée dans le processus de fracturation hydraulique pour la production de pétrole brut. Poudre de gomme de guar est également utilisé dans l'industrie alimentaire. Il est largement utilisé dans les aliments transformés.

Gomme de guar (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) ou de graines de guar est culture de 90 à 120 jours. Elle peut être cultivée en état de disponibilité de basses eaux. Gestion agricole est très simple. Il ne nécessite pas de pratiques agricoles réguliers en matière de batterie de serveurs.

Solution complète pour la culture mécanique haute technologie à grande échelle, de l'approvisionnement de la bonne semence, toutes les transformation de graines de guar Guar Split, Guar korma, Guar Coulombe, poudre de gomme de Guar, approvisionnement en produits de Guar, formation et tournée de l'exposition, la Certification de qualité internationale, Coloration recherche et développement et la gestion, le développement agricole.

Nous menons l'agriculture / expert agro-industrie qui fournissent la constance de la gomme de Guar (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) ou la culture de graines de guar. Nous avons mené à bien le projet en Inde, l'Indonésie Russie, Europe, Tanzanie, Soudan etc. Notre équipe va vous aider à acquérir les bonnes graines de qualité, préparation des terres, graines de semis, la gestion de l'irrigation, gestion des insecte, les ravageurs, guar récolte récolte et gestion des éléments nutritifs du sol. Notre équipe contribuera également à la sélection des terres, financiers, planification de la gestion de projet, de stockage et d'entrepôt.

Notre expert possède une expérience complète de travailler sous culture mécanique complète d'irrigation contrôlée, récolte mécanique, mécanique application d'insecticides ou de pesticides en grande surface de 100 à 200 hectares. Nos experts peuvent également aider à comprendre la transformation de graines de guar dans la gomme de guar divisée ensuite la poudre de gomme de guar.

Guar est également utilisé chez les bovins que se nourrissent de l'industrie, en restant partie de gerard semence après que traitement dans la poudre de gomme de guar est utilisée dans l'alimentation des bovins. Elle est riche en protéines et en fibres.

S'il vous plaît nous contacter pour plus de détails.

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